Economic Growth and the Role of Human Capital

Byron Ramirez Ph.D.

PUBLISHED:

September 16, 2024

Measuring economic growth allows us to determine whether an economy is expanding, remaining unchanged, or declining. Assessing economic performance, namely economic growth expressed through Gross Domestic Product (GDP), is a common method for evaluating the overall health of an economy. A healthy economy generates jobs and tends to lead to improvements in per capita income and living standards. 


In spite of the COVID-19 pandemic’s adverse effects on productivity, supply chains, and economic output worldwide, the U.S. economy has recovered relatively well during the past couple of years. In 2023, the U.S. economy grew at an average rate of 2.5 percent, indicating modest growth. Although there were some fears of economic decline (and trepidation concerning a potential recession), the U.S. economy has rebounded and created jobs, raising overall economic output. The figure below shows the percent change in real GDP (adjusted for inflation) in the United States during the past six quarters. As we can observe, throughout this time period, the U.S. economy has had positive economic growth.


Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis


Meanwhile, some countries such as Mexico and India have struggled economically, particularly on a GDP per capita basis. So, one might wonder, why has the U.S. economy been able to recover notwithstanding the difficulties of the COVID-19 pandemic? What has enabled the U.S. to remain economically resilient during these past few years? We will explore this a bit later. But first, let’s discuss how the theories behind economic growth have evolved over time. 


Background on the Study of Economic Growth


Economic growth has been studied for several decades. The economist, Robert Solow, became a prominent scholar on the subject in the 1950s. Solow’s theories proposed the role of accumulation of physical capital and emphasized the importance of technological progress as the ultimate driving force behind sustained economic growth. 


Growth theorists in the 1950s argued that technological progress occurred in an unexplained manner, and thus they placed technological growth outside of their economic model. However, there was a significant shortcoming in assuming that long-run economic growth is largely determined by some unexplained rate of technological progress which, after all, could not be modeled. 


By the 1960s, growth theory was based mainly on the neoclassical model, developed by Ramsey (1928), Solow (1956), and Koopmans (1965), to name a few. The neoclassical model considered individual consumers and firms and assumed that they make rational choices to maximize their utility or profits, and it also presumed perfect information and zero transaction costs. The neoclassical growth model posited that economic growth results from capital accumulation through household savings. Over time, economists would realize that consumers and decision makers in general are not always rational, markets indeed lack perfect information, and transactions between parties certainly yield costs. 


In the 1980s, most of the research conducted by economists centered on “endogenous growth” theories, in which the long–term economic growth rate was largely assumed to be determined by government policies. As such, economists argued that government policies help to motivate businesses to invest in research and development so they can continue to drive innovation.  Several of the economic models that emerged also began to broaden the definition of capital, and included references to human capital (Lucas 1988; Rebelo 1991; Romer 1986). Moreover, another key assumption of the endogenous growth theory is that economic growth is principally the result of internal forces, rather than external ones. 


In the late 1980s and early 1990s, scholarly works began to posit that technological progress generated by the discovery of new ideas was the only way to avoid diminishing returns in the long run. Two professors from the University of Chicago, Paul Romer and Robert Lucas, introduced the notion of “ideas” and of “human capital” as variables that have influence on economic growth. From their research emerged the subfield – the economics of technology. In their ensuing models, the purposive behavior that underlay innovations hinged on the prospect of monopoly profits, which provided individual incentives to carry out costly research (Aghion and Hewitt 1992; Grossman and Helpman 1991; Romer 1990).


Economists’ earlier theories about economic growth had suggested that labor and physical capital and increased productivity from technology are the primary factors that contribute towards economic growth. Over time, however, economists recognized the challenges of achieving economic growth especially as there are diminishing returns to capital and labor, combined with the reality that some countries are not as efficient in their allocation of resources as suggested by the neoclassical growth model.  Consequently, Robert Lucas (1988) and Paul Romer (1994) as well as others (Barro 1997; Rebelo 1991; Sachs and Warner 1997) proceeded to advance ‘Endogenous Growth Theory’ by arguing that economic growth can be driven by human capital, namely by the expansion of skills and knowledge that make workers productive. Thus, they argued that human capital has increasing returns to scale (i.e., the output increases by a larger proportion than the increase in inputs).   


The Influence of Human Capital on the Economy 


For some time now, there has been growing research on the impact of human capital on the economy. A study conducted by the Centre for Economics and Business Research in 2016 indicated that human capital is nearly 2.5 times more valuable to the economy than physical assets such as technology, real estate and inventory. The study also highlighted that for every $1 invested in human capital, $11.39 is added to GDP (CEBR, 2016). This study underscored the important role human capital plays in driving economic growth. When human capital increases in a society, including in areas such as education, science, manufacturing, and management, it leads to increases in innovation, increased productivity, and improved rates of labor force participation, all of which support economic growth.


And so, we come back to the questions: Why has the U.S. economy been able to recover notwithstanding the difficulties of the pandemic? What has enabled the U.S. to remain economically resilient during these past few years? I argue that the United States has been able to withstand the adverse effects of the pandemic due to its sizable stock of human capital. Since the U.S. is a high-income country with a workforce that has relatively high levels of education and health (on average), it tends to develop human capital at a higher rate (relative to other countries), enabling it to contend with economic adversity through innovation driven by knowledge workers. Below is a graph using data from the World Bank which shows the relationship between the Human Capital Index (Note: HCI is comprised of education and health components), and GDP per capita. As we can see from the graph, the United States has a high HCI score (0.7) and a high level of GDP per capita (slightly above USD$60,000). 


Source: Our World in Data, 2024


Key Lessons 


The Human Capital Index, developed by the World Bank, conveys the productivity of the next generation of workers compared to a benchmark of complete education and full health (World Bank, 2024). The HCI measures the knowledge, skills, and health that a child can expect to accumulate during their youth, taking into account factors such as education, health, and survival rates. The index is devised to indicate how improvements in health and education outcomes can lead to considerably greater productivity of the next generation of workers. Higher values indicate higher expected human capital. The United States’ relatively high HCI index score of 0.7 as of the year 2020, indicates that the country had made investments in human capital. A country's HCI score is its distance to the “frontier” of complete education and full health. Based on this index score, a child born in the United States will be 70 percent as productive when she grows up as she could be if she enjoyed complete education and full health.  In other words, the future earnings potential of children born will be 70% of what they could have been with complete education and full health. 


Unlike physical capital, human capital has increasing rates of return. Therefore, economic growth is augmented at a larger rate as human capital accumulates (people acquire more knowledge and skills). If human capital is indeed nearly 2.5 times more valuable to the economy than physical assets, then economies (nations) ought to invest in those areas that support human capital, namely education and health. And if investing $1 in human capital yields an estimated $11.39 to GDP, then countries will benefit greatly from investing in improving the health and education of people. 

Nations that invest in human capital are more adept at developing innovations that improve efficiency, competitiveness, and productivity. Human capital is also a key input in the research sector, which develops and incubates new ideas that support technological progress and innovation. Moreover, investing in education is intricately connected with the development of human capital and economic development (Barro and Lee 1993; Romer 1993). Hence, an increase in the educational attainment level of the population will, in turn, yield knowledge spillover effects which spur innovation across different industries and sectors.  And at the aggregate level, innovation will produce the long-term effect of increasing the economic growth rate. 


Innovation led by human capital (skilled knowledge workers) provides productivity gains that allow firms to expand their size, market reach and profits. Human capital also contributes to the efficiency and effectiveness of organizations within the social and public sectors.  In all, investing in human capital is beneficial to the well-being of the economy and society in general. Enhancing the education and health of people is essential to developing human capital and economic resilience. The acquisition of skills and knowledge enable ‘knowledge workers’ to drive entrepreneurial activities and innovation, proving that human capital is indeed the most important factor to developing a resilient economy and a functioning society. 

References

Aghion, P. and P. Howitt (1992). A Model of Growth through Creative Destruction. Econometrica, 60, 323-351.

Barro, R. (1997). Determinants of economic growth: a cross-country empirical study (2nd ed.). Cambridge, MA: The MIT Press.

Barro, R. J., & Lee, J. W. (1993). International comparisons of educational attainment. Journal of monetary economics, 32(3), 363-394.

Centre for Economics and Business Research. (2016). Korn Ferry Economic Analysis: Human Capital. 

Data Page: Human Capital Index. Our World in Data (2024). Data adapted from World Bank. Retrieved from https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/human-capital-index-in-2020 [online resource]

Grossman, G. M. and E. Helpman (1991). Innovation and Growth in the Global Economy. The MIT Press, Cambridge, MA.

Koopmans, T.C. (1965). On the Concept of Optimal Economic Growth. In: Johansen, J., Ed., The Econometric Approach to Development Planning, North Holland, Amsterdam.

Lucas, R. E. (1988). On the mechanics of economic development. Journal of Monetary Economics, 2, 3-42.

Ramsey, F.P. (1928). A Mathematical Theory of Saving. Economic Journal, 38, 543-559.

Rebelo, S. (1991). Long-run policy analysis and long-run growth. Journal of Political Economy. IC, 500-521.

Romer, P. M. (1986). Increasing Returns and Long-run Growth, Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 94(5), pages 1002-1037, October.

Romer, P. M. (1990). Endogenous Growth and Technical Change, Journal of Political Economy, 99, pp. 807-827.

Romer, P. M. (1993). Idea gaps and object gaps in economic development. Journal of Monetary Economics, 32(3), 543-573.

Romer, P. M. (1994). The origins of endogenous growth. The Journal of Economic Perspectives, 3-22.

Sachs, J. D., & Warner, A. M. (1997). Fundamental sources of long-run growth. The American Economic Review, 184-188.

Solow, R. M. (1956). A Contribution to the Theory of Economic Growth, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 70(1), pages 65-94.

U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. (2024). Gross Domestic Product. Retrieved from: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product [online resource]

World Bank. (2024) World Bank Group launches Human Capital Index (HCI). Retrieved from: https://timeline.worldbank.org/en/timeline/eventdetail/3336  [online resource]



By Karen Linkletter Ph.D. May 13, 2025
In today’s political environment, particularly in the United States, there is much discussion about the future of democracy. Globally, traditional democratic forms of government are being called into question. Is democracy no longer effective in its ability to represent “the people”? Have democratic governments been hijacked by elite, moneyed interests? Are our institutions no longer effective and in need of some kind of reset or reinvention? The increasing appeal of authoritarian regimes, driven by populist anger, has been the subject of the work of many political scientists and observers (Silver and Fetterolf, 2024, Praet, 2024, Rhodes, 2022). Nearly 200 years ago, Alexis de Tocqueville (1805-1859) sought to understand the essence of democracy. His motivations and observations can perhaps be instructive to us today as we wrestle with the nature of democracy in the modern era. Alexis de Tocqueville was a member of the French aristocracy in the era immediately following the French Revolution. The revolution, which began in 1789, featured the rejection of the monarchy through violent spectacle, including public beheadings via the newly developed guillotine. Alexis’s father was part of the French government and was briefly imprisoned during the Reign of Terror. Nevertheless, he was sympathetic to the revolutionary cause. In fact, many members of the aristocracy in de Tocqueville’s France understood the motivations behind the revolution and sought to ensure that subsequent governments addressed the extreme economic disparities that were exposed by the violent events of the Reign of Terror. Alexis was educated in the aristocratic tradition, studying political philosophy and theory, history, and law. He was well-versed in the Enlightenment philosophy that influenced the framers of the American Constitution, particularly Montesquieu. Montesquieu argued for separation of powers in governance, which derived from his belief in the human capacity not only for greatness, but also for corruption. This tension between virtue and vice, which Montesquieu saw as a universal condition of humankind throughout time, required guardrails to slow down or inhibit abuse of power. Following the establishment of the French Consulate in 1799, Napoleon rose to lead the French Empire in 1804. After his defeat in the Battle of Waterloo, France restored the monarchy to Charles X. However, this was a constitutional monarchy rather than one based on the rights of heredity. In 1830, France overthrew King Charles X of the House of Bourbon, growing critical of his broken promises for economic relief from taxation to pay off the debt of the Napoleonic Wars. Charles was replaced by his cousin, Louis Philippe, of the House of Orleans. Louis Philippe sought to reform the monarchy, recognizing freedoms such as voting rights. Referred to as the “Citizen King”, he would be one of the last kings to represent France. In essence, France was beginning to understand the inevitable: the past world of a hereditary monarch claiming absolute authority was over, and the constitutional monarchy seemingly could not deliver on the promises of egalitarianism made in 1789. But what would the new form of governance look like? This was not clear. Even though the country had a reformist government, constitutional monarchy still retained elite status/class distinctions to maintain social order.  Alexis de Tocqueville was 25 when Louis Philippe was installed as the Citizen King in the July Revolution of 1830. Believing that democracy would inevitably come to France, de Tocqueville wanted to study that form of government. What did it look like? How could it be a stable form of government? Because the United States of America was the earliest experiment in democracy, de Tocqueville petitioned the king to travel to America to study that country. In particular, de Tocqueville convinced the king to let him study the American penitentiary movement. One of the areas of reform pursued in France was prison reform (prisons in France were notoriously horrible). At the time, America was in the middle of its own reform movement, including the penitentiary system of prison reform. The concept of a penitentiary was brand new. The idea behind it was that, instead of rotting in prison forever, you would be reformed and released back into society if you were truly sorry, or penitent for, your crimes. De Tocqueville visited America in 1831-1832. In addition to prison reform, he witnessed many remarkable developments in American democracy. It was President Andrew Jackson’s first term, which involved substantial political upheaval in America. Jackson was the first President elected “of the people.” He was not a Virginian or New England “blue blood,” like all the presidents before him had been. Jackson was from the frontier, and had built his name on a military career, most notably in the War of 1812 at the Battle of New Orleans. Jackson’s election coincided with the expansion of suffrage to most white males regardless of their property ownership. Jackson was understandably a controversial President; his election gave birth to the Whig party as a political alternative. His fight against the Bank of the U.S. placed him at odds with a rapidly developing commercial middle class. During de Tocqueville’s visit, Americans were participating in a growing reform culture. Abolition, or anti-slavery, was building steam in the nation. William Lloyd Garrison published his first issue of The Liberator, an important abolitionist newspaper that de Tocqueville read. There were religious revivals, known as the Second Great Awakening, and urban reform movements targeting prostitution, temperance, and of course, prison reform, the purported reason for de Tocqueville’s visit. The discovery of gold on Cherokee land in Georgia in 1828 snowballed into the event eventually known as the Trail of Tears, the forced removal of thousands of Native Americans from their ancestral lands. Jackson’s 1830 Indian Removal Act made such events legal, and de Tocqueville personally witnessed the removal of the Chocktaw tribe. On a lighter note, this was also a time of incredible technological development. Railroad development and land speculation was beginning, McCormick had just patented his reaper, and de Tocqueville saw the newly opened Erie Canal. While de Tocqueville studied the nature of America’s young democracy nearly 200 years ago, we can leverage his observations with our own experience of facing a changing world where the nature of democracy is being questioned globally. The move towards increasing authoritarianism and populist movements calls into question whether democracy is government by the people or by the elite. Can de Tocqueville’s observations help us assess how we might keep democracies intact or make them more effective? In our next installment, I’ll look at de Tocqueville’s specific observations regarding democracy – particularly those related to the nature of equality. Sources Montesquieu, Charles de Secondat, baron de (1949). The spirit of the laws. New York: Hafner Pub. Co. Praet, J. (2024). Bringing authoritarianism into the limelight: the implications for populist radical right ideology. Journal of Political Ideologies, 1-23. Rhodes, B. (2022). After the Fall: The Rise of Authoritarianism in the World We’ve Made. Random House. Silver, L. and Fetterolf, J. (2024). Who likes authoritarianism, and how do they want to change their government? Pew Research Center, February 28. https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2024/02/28/who-likes-authoritarianism-and-how-do-they-want-to-change-their-government/ Tocqueville, A.D. and Reeve, H. (1835). Democracy in America. London: Saunders and Otley, to 1840.
By Byron Ramirez, Ph.D. and Bo Yang, Ph.D. April 23, 2025
When we describe leaders, we often cite the importance of their ability to influence others. For decades scholars have focused their work on studying and describing how this capacity to influence works and why it tends to elicit a positive response from people, who are inspired to follow the leader’s vision. We have read about that mystifying ability to persuade others and guide them towards a common purpose. However, when analyzing the leader there is another aspect we ought to also consider - where does their power originate from, and is this power considered legitimate? What these questions intend to imply is that when we analyze the interactions of leaders and their followers, we should contemplate how their relationship is built, and moreover, how the power of the leader is used to shape those relationships. Let us first discuss what power is and why it is important. Power in its general sense is the capacity to influence, lead, dominate, or impact the actions of others. The German sociologist, Max Weber referred to power as the capacity to create a desired outcome within a social relationship. As such, power enables the leader to influence and lead the actions of people. Legitimate power is often referred to as power that the person derives from formal position or office held in the organization's hierarchy of authority. And it is this notion of authority that helps legitimatize power in the eyes of the follower. For instance, a manager has legitimate power over their subordinates, allowing them to assign tasks. Teachers possess legitimate power in the classroom, enabling them to assign grades and set learning objectives. We can then surmise that legitimate power is based on the authority granted by a position or title. And individuals will comply with requests or decisions made by the person with authority because they recognize the authority of the person holding the position. However, unlike authority, which implies legitimacy, power can be exercised illegitimately. As history shows us, there are plenty of examples where power did not originate simply from a place of authority and legitimacy, and instead flowed from coercion. Joseph Stalin and his Great Terror campaign certainly comes to mind. And although Stalin did have a position of “authority”, much of his power and influence were coercive and deceptive in nature. In fact, Stalin had used his political positions throughout his life to “remove” opponents while bolstering his image in the pursuit of greater personal power. According to biographer Robert Service (2005), Stalin took pleasure in degrading and humiliating people and kept even close associates in a state of "unrelieved fear”. Of course, there are other instances in which coercive power is used to elicit compliance. A more common example of coercive power is a manager who uses threats of demotion or termination to get employees to comply. And so, when we consider the influence a leader (manager) has, we ought to consider the very nature and source of their power. Do people follow the leader because they are truly inspired by the leader’s vision? Or do they follow because they have no other choice? Managers who threaten the job security of others to ensure compliance, leaders who exploit their positions for personal gain, or individuals who rise through favoritism rather than merit – are manifestations of illegitimate power. Regardless of context, illegitimate power tends to erode morale, limit creativity, and foster toxic environments where people operate out of fear rather than purpose. Illegitimate power wields influence without moral justification, ethical values, or the consent of those affected. And because this form of power often derives from manipulation, coercion, intimidation, or exploitation rather than genuine respect for people, it undermines trust, breeds fear, and corrodes the ethical foundations of organizations and communities. Coercive leaders who use threats, punishment, or psychological pressure to force compliance, may certainly achieve short-term results, but at a significant long-term cost. Coercion strips individuals of their autonomy and creates environments of resentment and disengagement. People may comply outwardly, but internally they may withdraw, resist, or leave. Furthermore, coercive leadership discourages open dialogue and constructive feedback, which are essential for innovation, growth, and continuous improvement. When fear becomes the primary motivator, organizations and societies become stagnant, rigid, and vulnerable to collapse. And this brings us to an important question – what does legitimate power look like? On this issue, Peter Drucker offers unique insights. In his first book, The End of Economic Man (1939), Drucker discussed the issue of legitimate power (although he did not use the term legitimate power, but rather the justification of authority). Drucker believed that the power of rulers must possess legitimacy, a tradition that has continued in Western civilization since Plato and Aristotle. In Drucker’s view, legitimate power involves a functional relationship between power, social beliefs, and social realities: does power commit to social beliefs? At the same time, can it effectively organize social reality based on that commitment to create order? In his books, Concept of the Corporation (1946) and The New Society (1950), Drucker began to use both terms legitimate power and leadership simultaneously. Drucker would go on to argue that a government that commits to the well-being of its people can be said to have legitimate power. Over time, Drucker shifted his analysis of legitimate power from the political realm to social organizations. According to Drucker, if the management of a social organization (such as a company) claims that its principal purpose is to benefit employees, this particular focus would constitute an abuse of power. Instead, Drucker argued that the primary mission of an economic organization is to always achieve economic performance, thereby contributing to society – and this is in fact, the source of the legitimacy of corporate management's power. Of course, a company is also a community. For employees, management undoubtedly holds power and must exercise it. However, the legitimacy of management’s power does not come from the commitment to benefit employees, but rather from two functions: 1. Through institutional design and innovation, shaping effective community communication, thereby enabling middle-level and lower-level employees to gain an overall vision of the organization. This allows employees to have a managerial attitude. 2. By setting clear and reasonable performance standards, prompting employees to take responsibility and achieve success through effective work. If management can perform these functions within the organization, then it is considered to exercise legitimate power. In Drucker's early works, exercising legitimate power was almost synonymous with leadership. Drucker was not enthusiastic about discussing the personal style or charm of leaders, and he was even less inclined to associate leadership with a mystifying ability to persuade others, especially if such persuasion appealed to propaganda, indoctrination, or mental manipulation. For Drucker, discussing leadership primarily meant enabling power to function effectively. Therefore, leadership is not a matter of individual leaders' techniques and styles, but rather a matter of the responsibility and function of power itself. We can surmise from these functions that legitimate power aligns with the goals, beliefs, and aspirations of the people being led. Leaders who wield this kind of power do not need to resort to threats or manipulation. Instead, they inspire, guide, and collaborate. Their authority is accepted because it is seen as fair, earned, and beneficial to the collective. It is vital to foster leaders who operate from legitimate power—power that is granted through trust, expertise, shared values, and recognized authority. Legitimate power is grounded in the formal authority granted to a manager through their role within an organization, but its true strength comes from how that authority is exercised. Unlike coercive power, legitimate power is perceived as rightful and appropriate because it is based on clear expectations, mutual respect, and established structures. When managers consistently act with fairness, integrity, and transparency, their authority is more likely to be accepted and trusted by their teams. This creates a healthy power dynamic where employees feel secure in leadership decisions, understand their roles, and are motivated to contribute toward shared goals. Managers can build legitimate power by aligning their actions with the organization's values and demonstrating competence, consistency, and accountability. For instance, making decisions that reflect the organization’s mission and treating all team members equitably strengthens a manager’s credibility. Communication is also key—leaders who listen actively, provide clear direction, and explain the rationale behind their decisions foster trust and buy-in. Investing in personal growth, staying informed, and modeling a strong work ethic all reinforce the perception that a manager has earned their position and is acting in the best interest of the team and the organization. When managers lead through legitimate power, the benefits to the organization are substantial. Teams are more engaged, morale improves, and collaboration increases because people trust the leadership and feel aligned with the organization’s purpose. This creates a positive feedback loop where employees are more likely to take initiative, innovate, and remain committed, reducing turnover and boosting overall performance. In essence, legitimate power forms the foundation of a sustainable leadership culture—one that empowers individuals, strengthens organizational integrity, and drives long-term success. Developing leaders who influence through legitimate power requires a shift in how we define and nurture leadership. It involves prioritizing emotional intelligence, ethical reasoning, transparency, and empathy. Such leaders model integrity and authenticity, aligning their decisions with shared values and long-term visions. They create environments where people feel valued, heard, and empowered. In turn, this fosters loyalty, engagement, and a strong sense of purpose. To build healthier workplaces and more just societies, we must champion leaders who embody legitimate power: those who influence not by fear, but by vision, credibility, and alignment with shared values. This approach not only promotes ethical leadership but also cultivates trust, innovation, and collective well-being. References Drucker, P. F. (1946). Concept of the corporation. New York: John Day Company Drucker, P. F. (1939). The end of economic man: A study of the new totalitarianism. New York: John Day Company Drucker, P. F. (1950). The new society: The anatomy of the industrial order. New York: Harper Service, R. (2005). Stalin: a biography. Belknap Press of Harvard University Press. Weber, M. (1965). Politics as a vocation. Fortress Press.
By Bo Yang Ph.D. April 23, 2025
In China, you can see countless interviews with successful entrepreneurs on TV, online, or in magazines. The same is true in the U.S.—probably even more so. I imagine this stylish trend must have originated in America. These interviews often show entrepreneurs sincerely talking about childhood dreams and beliefs they’ve held for decades. They’ll share how they stayed committed to those dreams and step by step made them come true. Over the past few years, I’ve had the chance to meet a few Chinese entrepreneurs—some of whom I had previously seen on TV or in magazines. Once we got to know each other better, they started sharing stories that were quite different from their media narratives. They admitted that their childhoods were hardly filled with grand dreams. What truly pushed them into business were hunger, poverty, cunning—or sometimes, just luck. I am not a nihilist, nor am I trying to say that dreams and beliefs are nothing but marketing gimmicks, exposed through off-the-record conversations. What I mean is: this is a realist world. It’s entirely possible for people to achieve business success through the pursuit of profit, intelligence, hard work, and a bit of luck. Many people don’t fully understand how they even became successful—until they already are. Of course, the world isn’t just about realism. Some people, once successful, begin to seek meaning in their lives. They want to keep doing valuable things—not just by luck, but through genuine understanding. At this point, they need to go back and reexamine what business really means. So what does business really mean? If you asked a Chinese scholar from a thousand years ago, he would most likely say that business is linked to something like original sin. Of course, Chinese culture doesn’t contain the Christian idea of original sin, but when talking about commerce or merchants, scholars would often describe businesspeople as inherently tainted by something spiritually corrupt. If you asked a classical economist like Adam Smith, you’d get a much more generous answer. Classical economists openly accept the profit motive as part of human nature, and they’d go further to say that this motive is a major driver of civilization. The accumulation of social wealth, improved quality of life, and progress of civilization all rely on individuals—driven by profit—to create rules, use their talents, and generate value. After classical economics, this line of thinking became the default lens for understanding business and commercial civilization. Even though Marxism and Nazism have violently attacked the profit motive, modern commercial civilization has not only survived—it has thrived. The great achievement of classical economics was to build a causal relationship between the pursuit of profit and the progress of civilization. But the question remains: is that all there is? The entrepreneurs I know, who fought their way through tough business landscapes, would never doubt the role of the profit motive. But some of them also have a vague sense that business isn’t just about making money. After a few successful ventures, some start to long—consciously or unconsciously—for cleaner businesses, meaningful businesses, even beautiful ones. They may not be able to articulate this impulse, so instead, they go on TV or into magazines and talk about childhood dreams and ideals. These aren’t real memories—they’re symbolic stories. What exactly drives commercial civilization? Peter Drucker agreed with the classical economists, but only halfway—because they only got it halfway right. Drucker never denied the profit motive. But he believed that all successful business activity is a discovery and creation of order. And that’s what makes it so important. Not only do entrepreneurs and managers need to rethink the meaning of business, but ordinary citizens in modern society do too. Drucker’s book Managing for Results, published in 1964, is still seen by many as a hands-on business guide—and rightly so. Few of his works are as focused on practical application, packed with diagrams and terminology. But what’s truly interesting about the book is how, while walking readers through practical operations, Drucker is also helping them rethink what business actually is. He starts right where most businesspeople do—with the desire to make money. But he warns: not every boss who makes money actually understands how they made it—or which products brought in the profit. To figure that out, they have to understand their business as a whole. But doing that means stepping out of personal ego and illusions of success. It means knowing which accounting method reveals the truth. It means identifying which products are making money—and then asking why. And the right way to find out why a product makes money isn’t to ask the product manager, engineer, or designer—it’s to understand the customer’s needs. If the boss and the product manager are serious about understanding the customer, they’ll realize the customer isn’t buying a product—they’re buying value, value that meets a particular need. And customer needs change constantly—just like the weather. Even the smartest people can only partly predict these shifts. The wise approach is to treat change as a given and figure out how to deal with it, manage it, and adapt to it. Once they accept this truth, bosses and managers begin to see the market differently. Results are not things created inside a company—they’re things selected by customers in the marketplace. Profit isn’t wealth created by the company and kept by it; it’s a risk buffer that allows the company to stay in the market. Innovation isn’t a CEO suddenly struck by inspiration; it’s people with entrepreneurial spirit using new combinations of resources to meet customer needs and produce performance. A boss who’s serious about business—and honest about reality—can start out wanting to make money and end up with an entirely new perspective, and a deeper understanding of business. At the end of Managing for Results, Drucker wrote something striking. He believed that not only entrepreneurs and managers need to understand business—they have a responsibility to help the public understand it too. They must become educators in civil society. Even today, in modern, industrialized nations with booming economies, many well-educated citizens still don’t understand business. They look down on it. Some even hate it. They don’t lack conscience—if anything, they’re overflowing with it—but they lack imagination and understanding. They don’t see that business is actually a form of rational exchange and creative mutual benefit between people. And because they don’t understand this, they not only despise business—they become impatient with any kind of rational exchange or creative collaboration. Instead, they get used to imposing their moral preferences on others. That kind of moral arrogance keeps producing hatred and division in modern society. Of course, Drucker didn’t believe business could solve all of society’s problems. But he did believe that the motive behind commercial civilization isn’t only about profit. He also believed that civilized business itself is a form of education for modern society. Because civilization—no matter where it appears—always involves understanding, creating, sharing, and exchanging organizational frameworks. As he wrote: “The economic task, if done purposefully, responsibly, with knowledge and forethought, can indeed be exciting and stimulating, as this book has, I hope, conveyed. It offers intellectual challenge, the reward of accomplishment, and the unique enjoyment man derives from bringing order out of chaos.” Drucker often quoted the British philosopher Alfred North Whitehead (1861–1947). As far as I know, Whitehead may be the only modern philosopher—besides Drucker—who truly understood the beauty of business. In his 1925 book Science and the Modern World, Whitehead wrote something strikingly similar: “Art is not limited to sunsets. A factory—by virtue of its machines, its community of workers, its service to the general public, its reliance on organizational and design genius, and its potential as a source of wealth for shareholders—is a living organism rich with value.” But Whitehead also said something even more important, in The Adventure of Ideas (1933): “Plato was right: The creation of the world—the world of civilized institutions—is the victory of persuasion over force.” And business civilization—especially the kind that Drucker and Whitehead envisioned, one that creates order and beauty—is perhaps the most brilliant demonstration of how persuasion can triumph over conquest.  As Drucker said, it’s not just businesspeople who need to understand this. Every citizen of the modern world should too. Because even now, the opposite impulse is still alive—the desire to replace persuasion with conquest and turn business into a game of domination.
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